TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13080358
Played Sep 5Finished
Jokiel Patrik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–2Last 5Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113115118119––
Tomas Ogrocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJokiel Patrik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJokiel Patrik above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jokiel Patrik at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Patrik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Patrik 1474 vs Ogrocki 1342
Patrik
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Patrik 60% vs Ogrocki 40%
Patrik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Patrik 60% vs Ogrocki 40%
Patrik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Patrik -1 · Ogrocki -3
Ogrocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Patrik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPatrik 1.73 / Ogrocki 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Patrik)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13080358
Patrik1.73
60%won 3 of 5 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 2 of 5
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Ogrocki2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 59 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back28% 22 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPatrikOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 6 vs 209 / 44833.3%46.7%2 / 6 vs 209 / 448Avg sets wonper match1.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match19.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PatrikPatrik 1.73/Ogrocki 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Patrik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Patrik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Patrik8
LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LFeb 15 · 20:40O. Kus1.531111113J. Patrik2.384890WFeb 15 · 20:10R. Benesz1.831211971J. Patrik1.83101311113WFeb 15 · 19:10J. Patrik1.8314199113O. Vaclahovsky1.8312171191LDec 1 · 10:30J. Patrik—1J. Schwan—3WMar 2 · 09:30J. Patrik—3D. Muller—0LSep 26 · 08:59T. Lysek—3J. Patrik—2
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242WSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561WSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871LSep 3 · 17:40T. Ogrocki2.0071131162P. Chvojka1.73117118113WAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892WAug 31 · 20:10K. Zeman1.445880T. Ogrocki2.631111113
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