TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13066000
Played Sep 2Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117118––––
Ondrej Coufal
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:48 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeVladislav Reska to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Ondrej Coufal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 53 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vladislav Reska at 58.6%
53 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 1–1 Ondrej Coufal Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Reska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Reska 1533 vs Coufal 1381
Reska
Correct
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 100% vs Coufal 60%
Reska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 90% vs Coufal 40%
Reska
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska +5 · Coufal +2
Reska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Reska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coufal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 1.67 / Coufal 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Reska)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13066000
Reska1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 73 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Coufal2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 5 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeReska1wins
AwayCoufal1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricReskaCoufalR − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.542.0−8.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 470 vs 7 / 1950.6%36.8%238 / 470 vs 7 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReskaReska 1.67/Coufal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Reska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska—311311113O. Coufal—11911672
LAug 12 · 16:15V. Reska—115841O. Coufal—71111113
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481
O. Coufal10
WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska1.83311311113O. Coufal1.8311911672WAug 27 · 16:44O. Kus1.3367100O. Coufal3.251111123LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus1.441111133O. Coufal2.6349110LAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik1.7361111113O. Coufal2.00119861LAug 17 · 17:20O. Coufal1.9681080O. Kus1.701112113WAug 17 · 16:15O. Coufal2.0011511123J. Sindler1.737118101LAug 17 · 14:45O. Kus1.8011115113O. Coufal1.91771161
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