TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029255
Played Aug 27Finished
Michal Janik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119118116––
Ondrej Coufal
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Janik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Janik above · Ondrej Coufal below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Michal Janik at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Janik 1–0 Ondrej Coufal Ondrej Coufal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Janik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Janik 1400 vs Coufal 1329
Janik
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janik 60% vs Coufal 40%
Janik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janik 70% vs Coufal 30%
Janik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janik +3 · Coufal -1
Janik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Janik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanik 1.73 / Coufal 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Janik)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13029255
Janik1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite41% won 21 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it55% 11 of 20
Coufal2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 4 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJanik1wins
AwayCoufal0wins
Janik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJanikCoufalJ − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match39.034.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanikCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 264 vs 5 / 1643.9%31.3%116 / 264 vs 5 / 16Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.032.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanikJanik 1.73/Coufal 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Janik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Janik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik—61111113O. Coufal—119861
M. Janik10
WSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152WSep 2 · 18:10M. Janik2.001111119113O. Skvor1.7313761132WSep 2 · 16:39O. Skvor1.731011971M. Janik2.0012711113LSep 2 · 15:40V. Reska1.7361111113M. Janik2.00117481LSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 14:10M. Janik2.00571181O. Skvor1.7311117113WAug 27 · 20:38K. Zeman1.80711981M. Janik1.9111811113LAug 27 · 19:40V. Reska2.00111011113M. Janik1.73912741
O. Coufal10
LSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska1.83311311113O. Coufal1.8311911672WAug 27 · 16:44O. Kus1.3367100O. Coufal3.251111123LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus1.441111133O. Coufal2.6349110LAug 17 · 17:20O. Coufal1.9681080O. Kus1.701112113WAug 17 · 16:15O. Coufal2.0011511123J. Sindler1.737118101LAug 17 · 14:45O. Kus1.8011115113O. Coufal1.91771161
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