TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13030890
Played Aug 27Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6117111012––––
Ondrej Coufal
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Ondrej Coufal below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12
57 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 4–1 Ondrej Coufal Ondrej Coufal has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Kus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coufal form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 1.33 / Coufal 3.25
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Kus)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13030890
Kus1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 50 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it67% 36 of 54
Coufal3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 4 of 10
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKus4wins
AwayCoufal1wins
Kus leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKus75%3 of 4
AwayCoufaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus4Coufal1n = 5Kus took 4 of 5
S2Kus4Coufal1n = 5Kus took 4 of 5
S3Kus3Coufal2n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
S4Kus2Coufal1n = 3Kus took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKusCoufalK − CBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match37.030.2+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 495 vs 4 / 1549.9%26.7%247 / 495 vs 4 / 15Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.332.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusKus 1.33/Coufal 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.9%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Coufal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus—1111133O. Coufal—49110
WAug 17 · 17:20O. Kus—1112113O. Coufal—81080
WAug 17 · 14:45O. Kus—11115113O. Coufal—771161
WAug 6 · 16:44O. Kus—101111113O. Coufal—126751
LAug 6 · 14:40O. Kus—1111491O. Coufal—51311113
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890
O. Coufal10
LSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780WSep 2 · 16:10O. Skvor1.73119591O. Coufal2.0081111113WSep 2 · 15:10O. Coufal2.38119911113M. Janik1.5381111652LSep 2 · 13:40V. Reska1.83311311113O. Coufal1.8311911672LAug 27 · 16:10O. Coufal1.7391311101P. Jokiel2.0011154123LAug 27 · 14:40O. Kus1.441111133O. Coufal2.6349110LAug 27 · 14:10M. Janik1.7361111113O. Coufal2.00119861LAug 17 · 17:20O. Coufal1.9681080O. Kus1.701112113WAug 17 · 16:15O. Coufal2.0011511123J. Sindler1.737118101LAug 17 · 14:45O. Kus1.8011115113O. Coufal1.91771161
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