TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039513
Played Aug 29Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118119––––
Jindrich Coufal
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:50 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kus to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Jindrich Coufal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Kus at 63.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 2–0 Jindrich Coufal Jindrich Coufal has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:50What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kus 1447 vs Coufal 1354
Kus
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 60% vs Coufal 20%
Kus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 50% vs Coufal 20%
Kus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus -1 · Coufal -4
Coufal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kus) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coufal form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 1.50 / Coufal 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kus)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13039513
Kus1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 51 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it67% 37 of 55
Coufal2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 3 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKus2wins
AwayCoufal0wins
Kus leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKusCoufalK − CBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match35.527.5+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 504 vs 11 / 3250.2%34.4%253 / 504 vs 11 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusKus 1.50/Coufal 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus—1111113J. Coufal—7890
WApr 9 · 16:15O. Kus—11511113J. Coufal—811931
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113LAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
J. Coufal10
WAug 29 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.5711114111J. Coufal2.2581311133LAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel1.6710111410133J. Coufal2.101261212112WAug 29 · 11:10D. Stefek1.806590J. Coufal1.911111113WAug 29 · 10:10J. Coufal1.7371111113T. Ogrocki2.00113361LAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101LAug 29 · 07:10J. Coufal2.20611981V. Reska1.6111211113LAug 29 · 05:40J. Volny1.731111113J. Coufal2.006750LAug 6 · 16:43J. Coufal1.731471181F. Theodor2.0016115113LAug 6 · 15:45D. Branny1.531011511113J. Coufal2.3812911982WAug 6 · 15:15F. Theodor1.839111341J. Coufal1.83111311113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.