TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039538
Played Aug 29Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012116141210121311
Jindrich Coufal
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:48 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Jindrich Coufal below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 111 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Patrik Jokiel at 59.7%
111 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 1–0 Jindrich Coufal Jindrich Coufal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:48What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jokiel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1427 vs Coufal 1347
Jokiel
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 60% vs Coufal 40%
Jokiel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 60% vs Coufal 30%
Jokiel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel -1 · Coufal +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jokiel) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.67 / Coufal 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Jokiel)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13039538
Jokiel1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite51% won 40 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Coufal2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 3 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeJokiel1wins
AwayCoufal0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderJokiel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricJokielCoufalJ − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match58.053.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 399 vs 10 / 3147.1%32.3%188 / 399 vs 10 / 31Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokielJokiel 1.67/Coufal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Jokiel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel—10111410133J. Coufal—1261212112
P. Jokiel10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482
J. Coufal10
WAug 29 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.5711114111J. Coufal2.2581311133WAug 29 · 11:10D. Stefek1.806590J. Coufal1.911111113WAug 29 · 10:10J. Coufal1.7371111113T. Ogrocki2.00113361LAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101LAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 07:10J. Coufal2.20611981V. Reska1.6111211113LAug 29 · 05:40J. Volny1.731111113J. Coufal2.006750LAug 6 · 16:43J. Coufal1.731471181F. Theodor2.0016115113LAug 6 · 15:45D. Branny1.531011511113J. Coufal2.3812911982WAug 6 · 15:15F. Theodor1.839111341J. Coufal1.83111311113
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