TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12371325
Played Aug 6Finished
Filip Theodor
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91111131311411––
Jindrich Coufal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJindrich Coufal to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Theodor above · Jindrich Coufal below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 83 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jindrich Coufal at 56.4%
83 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Coufal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Theodor 1303 vs Coufal 1417
Coufal
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Theodor 0% vs Coufal 20%
Coufal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Theodor 30% vs Coufal 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Theodor -5 · Coufal -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Coufal) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coufal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTheodor 1.83 / Coufal 1.83
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Coufal)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12371325
Theodor1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Coufal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricTheodorCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 141 vs 7 / 2144%33.3%62 / 141 vs 7 / 21Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.641.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CoufalTheodor 1.83/Coufal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Coufal · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Coufal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Theodor10
LSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113WSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551WAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482LAug 31 · 18:40F. Theodor2.00931161K. Zeman1.7311113113WAug 31 · 17:40F. Theodor1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.387650WAug 30 · 17:09O. Skvor1.578630F. Theodor2.251111113LAug 30 · 15:45F. Theodor2.00113741O. Skvor1.7371111113
J. Coufal10
WAug 29 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.5711114111J. Coufal2.2581311133LAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel1.6710111410133J. Coufal2.101261212112WAug 29 · 11:10D. Stefek1.806590J. Coufal1.911111113WAug 29 · 10:10J. Coufal1.7371111113T. Ogrocki2.00113361LAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101LAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 07:10J. Coufal2.20611981V. Reska1.6111211113LAug 29 · 05:40J. Volny1.731111113J. Coufal2.006750LAug 6 · 16:43J. Coufal1.731471181F. Theodor2.0016115113LAug 6 · 15:45D. Branny1.531011511113J. Coufal2.3812911982
Upcoming Matches
F. Theodor
J. Coufal
Nothing scheduled
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