TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039540
Played Aug 29Finished
Dominik Stefek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511911––––
Jindrich Coufal
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:49 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeDominik Stefek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDominik Stefek above · Jindrich Coufal below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Dominik Stefek at 54.5%
53 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Stefek 0–1 Jindrich Coufal Dominik Stefek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1447 vs Coufal 1354
Stefek
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 60% vs Coufal 20%
Stefek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 70% vs Coufal 20%
Stefek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -2 · Coufal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coufal form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.80 / Coufal 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stefek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13039540
Stefek1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 15 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Coufal1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 3 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStefek0wins
AwayCoufal1wins
Coufal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricStefekCoufalS − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 80 vs 11 / 3251.3%34.4%41 / 80 vs 11 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.80/Coufal 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.3%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Coufal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 29 · 11:10D. Stefek—6590J. Coufal—1111113
D. Stefek10
WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042
J. Coufal10
WAug 29 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.5711114111J. Coufal2.2581311133LAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel1.6710111410133J. Coufal2.101261212112WAug 29 · 10:10J. Coufal1.7371111113T. Ogrocki2.00113361LAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101LAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 07:10J. Coufal2.20611981V. Reska1.6111211113LAug 29 · 05:40J. Volny1.731111113J. Coufal2.006750LAug 6 · 16:43J. Coufal1.731471181F. Theodor2.0016115113LAug 6 · 15:45D. Branny1.531011511113J. Coufal2.3812911982WAug 6 · 15:15F. Theodor1.839111341J. Coufal1.83111311113
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