TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13039511
Played Aug 29Finished
Jindrich Coufal
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711113113116––
Tomas Ogrocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:49 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Ogrocki to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJindrich Coufal above · Tomas Ogrocki below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 63 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Ogrocki at 54.5%
63 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 02:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Coufal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Coufal 1317 vs Ogrocki 1431
Ogrocki
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Coufal 0% vs Ogrocki 80%
Ogrocki
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Coufal 10% vs Ogrocki 60%
Ogrocki
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Coufal -5 · Ogrocki -1
Coufal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ogrocki) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogrocki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCoufal 1.73 / Ogrocki 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ogrocki)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13039511
Coufal1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Ogrocki2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 58 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back28% 21 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricCoufalOgrockiBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 28 vs 203 / 43028.6%47.2%8 / 28 vs 203 / 430Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OgrockiCoufal 1.73/Ogrocki 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ogrocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Coufal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Coufal10
WAug 29 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.5711114111J. Coufal2.2581311133LAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel1.6710111410133J. Coufal2.101261212112WAug 29 · 11:10D. Stefek1.806590J. Coufal1.911111113LAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101LAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 07:10J. Coufal2.20611981V. Reska1.6111211113LAug 29 · 05:40J. Volny1.731111113J. Coufal2.006750LAug 6 · 16:43J. Coufal1.731471181F. Theodor2.0016115113LAug 6 · 15:45D. Branny1.531011511113J. Coufal2.3812911982WAug 6 · 15:15F. Theodor1.839111341J. Coufal1.83111311113
T. Ogrocki10
LSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 12:10J. Patrik1.73111111113T. Ogrocki2.00135891LSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 3 · 21:13P. Chvojka1.739111110113T. Ogrocki2.0011891242WSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561WSep 3 · 18:40T. Ogrocki1.6112111113O. Vaclahovsky2.201011871LSep 3 · 17:40T. Ogrocki2.0071131162P. Chvojka1.73117118113WAug 31 · 20:40T. Ogrocki2.50611811113K. Zeman1.5011511892
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