TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041659
Played Aug 29Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11811134111113––
Jindrich Coufal
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Jindrich Coufal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 82 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Patrik Jokiel at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 1–1 Jindrich Coufal Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jokiel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1420 vs Coufal 1354
Jokiel
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 60% vs Coufal 40%
Jokiel
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 60% vs Coufal 30%
Jokiel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel +1 · Coufal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Jokiel) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 1.57 / Coufal 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Jokiel)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13041659
Jokiel1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 40 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it69% 25 of 36
Coufal2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 3 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJokiel1wins
AwayCoufal1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJokielCoufalJ − CBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.549.0−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielCoufalBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 401 vs 11 / 3247.1%34.4%189 / 401 vs 11 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JokielJokiel 1.57/Coufal 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Jokiel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Coufal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 29 · 13:10P. Jokiel—11114111J. Coufal—81311133
WAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel—10111410133J. Coufal—1261212112
P. Jokiel10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482
J. Coufal10
LAug 29 · 11:40P. Jokiel1.6710111410133J. Coufal2.101261212112WAug 29 · 11:10D. Stefek1.806590J. Coufal1.911111113WAug 29 · 10:10J. Coufal1.7371111113T. Ogrocki2.00113361LAug 29 · 08:39V. Reska1.4411511123J. Coufal2.638118101LAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 07:10J. Coufal2.20611981V. Reska1.6111211113LAug 29 · 05:40J. Volny1.731111113J. Coufal2.006750LAug 6 · 16:43J. Coufal1.731471181F. Theodor2.0016115113LAug 6 · 15:45D. Branny1.531011511113J. Coufal2.3812911982WAug 6 · 15:15F. Theodor1.839111341J. Coufal1.83111311113
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