TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076884
Played Sep 4Finished
Patrik Jokiel
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611911––––
Kamil Przeczek
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 55 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 56.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Jokiel 2–2 Kamil Przeczek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:28What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Przeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jokiel 1425 vs Przeczek 1369
Jokiel
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jokiel 60% vs Przeczek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jokiel 40% vs Przeczek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jokiel +1 · Przeczek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Przeczek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJokiel 2.25 / Przeczek 1.57
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Przeczek)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13076884
Jokiel2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 75 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back37% 24 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Przeczek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 24 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 15 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeJokiel2wins
AwayPrzeczek2wins
3 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJokiel66.7%2 of 3
AwayPrzeczekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jokiel3Przeczek1n = 4Jokiel took 3 of 4
S2Jokiel1Przeczek3n = 4Przeczek took 3 of 4
S3Jokiel0Przeczek4n = 4Przeczek took 4 of 4
S4Jokiel3Przeczek1n = 4Jokiel took 3 of 4
S5Jokiel2Przeczek1n = 3Jokiel took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricJokielPrzeczekJ − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.845.5−2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJokielPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 410 vs 72 / 15947.1%45.3%193 / 410 vs 72 / 159Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekJokiel 2.25/Przeczek 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 21 · 16:15P. Jokiel—711771K. Przeczek—11711113
LJul 3 · 14:45P. Jokiel—11341172K. Przeczek—911116113
WJun 18 · 14:15P. Jokiel—119712123K. Przeczek—6111110102
WMay 22 · 17:45P. Jokiel—1191011113K. Przeczek—51112992
P. Jokiel10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482WAug 31 · 19:10T. Ogrocki1.571281291P. Jokiel2.25101114113
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113WSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192
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