TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13070374
Played Sep 3Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
113911118211611
Kamil Przeczek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:38 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kus to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 83 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Ondrej Kus at 67.8%
83 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 8–3 Kamil Przeczek Kamil Przeczek has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Kus
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1420 vs Przeczek 1350
Kus
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 60% vs Przeczek 40%
Kus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 60% vs Przeczek 20%
Kus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus -1 · Przeczek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kus) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 1.67 / Przeczek 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kus)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13070374
Kus1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 49 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it66% 35 of 53
Przeczek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKus7wins
AwayPrzeczek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKus leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKus71.4%5 of 7
AwayPrzeczek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus7Przeczek3n = 10Kus took 7 of 10
S2Kus7Przeczek3n = 10Kus took 7 of 10
S3Kus5Przeczek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kus3Przeczek4n = 7Przeczek took 4 of 7
S5Kus3Przeczek2n = 5Kus took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKusPrzeczekK − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.237.0+4.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 509 vs 70 / 15550.1%45.2%255 / 509 vs 70 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusKus 1.67/Przeczek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.8%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus—11911262K. Przeczek—311811113
WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus—811117113K. Przeczek—11951192
WAug 18 · 18:10O. Kus—11119113K. Przeczek—951151
WAug 4 · 20:15O. Kus—11117113K. Przeczek—471181
WJul 3 · 14:15O. Kus—1112113K. Przeczek—71090
WJun 23 · 16:10O. Kus—1011118123K. Przeczek—126811102
WApr 24 · 17:15O. Kus—1111113K. Przeczek—9740
WApr 24 · 15:45O. Kus—11101511113K. Przeczek—81217842
LMar 13 · 09:10O. Kus—6560K. Przeczek—1111113
LJan 29 · 21:15O. Kus—111178122K. Przeczek—731111143
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192
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