TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079315
Played Sep 4Finished
Kamil Przeczek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171113116119––
Patrik Jokiel
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Przeczek above · Patrik Jokiel below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 59.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Przeczek 4–2 Patrik Jokiel Patrik Jokiel has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Przeczek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Przeczek
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przeczek 1409 vs Jokiel 1407
Przeczek
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przeczek 80% vs Jokiel 40%
Przeczek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przeczek 60% vs Jokiel 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przeczek +2 · Jokiel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Przeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 1.50 / Jokiel 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Przeczek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13079315
Przeczek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite44% won 24 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it60% 15 of 25
Jokiel2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 75 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back37% 24 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePrzeczek4wins
AwayJokiel2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderPrzeczek leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek100%3 of 3
AwayJokiel66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek3Jokiel3n = 6split evenly
S2Przeczek4Jokiel2n = 6Przeczek took 4 of 6
S3Przeczek6Jokiel0n = 6Przeczek took 6 of 6
S4Przeczek2Jokiel3n = 5Jokiel took 3 of 5
S5Przeczek1Jokiel2n = 3Jokiel took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPrzeczekJokielP − JBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match43.238.0+5.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 162 vs 194 / 41346.3%47%75 / 162 vs 194 / 413Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekPrzeczek 1.50/Jokiel 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Przeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek—111111113P. Jokiel—713691
WSep 4 · 18:40K. Przeczek—1111113P. Jokiel—7690
WJul 21 · 16:15K. Przeczek—11711113P. Jokiel—711771
WJul 3 · 14:45K. Przeczek—911116113P. Jokiel—11341172
LJun 18 · 14:15K. Przeczek—6111110102P. Jokiel—119712123
LMay 22 · 17:45K. Przeczek—51112992P. Jokiel—1191011113
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113WSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113LSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192
P. Jokiel10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482WAug 31 · 19:10T. Ogrocki1.571281291P. Jokiel2.25101114113
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