TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058646
Played Sep 1Finished
Kamil Przeczek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511811––––
Jiri Vanous
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:53 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Przeczek to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKamil Przeczek above · Jiri Vanous below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 53 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Kamil Przeczek at 60.1%
53 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Przeczek 4–2 Jiri Vanous Jiri Vanous has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:53What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Przeczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Przeczek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przeczek 1353 vs Vanous 1336
Przeczek
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przeczek 20% vs Vanous 40%
Vanous
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przeczek 10% vs Vanous 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przeczek -2 · Vanous -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Przeczek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzeczek 1.61 / Vanous 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Przeczek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13058646
Przeczek1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite44% won 22 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it57% 13 of 23
Vanous2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 43 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back18% 10 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePrzeczek4wins
AwayVanous2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderPrzeczek leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzeczek100%3 of 3
AwayVanous66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przeczek3Vanous3n = 6split evenly
S2Przeczek4Vanous2n = 6Przeczek took 4 of 6
S3Przeczek3Vanous3n = 6split evenly
S4Przeczek2Vanous3n = 5Vanous took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPrzeczekVanousP − VBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match38.537.8+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzeczekVanousBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 152 vs 120 / 27644.7%43.5%68 / 152 vs 120 / 276Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzeczekPrzeczek 1.61/Vanous 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Przeczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vanous won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 24 · 17:45K. Przeczek—111275113J. Vanous—610111182
WJun 30 · 19:10K. Przeczek—11115113J. Vanous—791141
WMay 22 · 20:45K. Przeczek—1116133J. Vanous—614110
LMay 22 · 19:45K. Przeczek—611321J. Vanous—11911113
WDec 9 · 21:50K. Przeczek—971111113J. Vanous—11116462
LDec 9 · 19:40K. Przeczek—981181J. Vanous—11116113
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113WSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192
J. Vanous10
LSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113WSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 2 · 21:10J. Vanous1.8011910101M. Janik1.9131112123WSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113WSep 2 · 19:10J. Vanous2.10611119113M. Janik1.6711891152LSep 2 · 17:40V. Molin1.5391111113J. Vanous2.38119851LSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 19:10J. Vanous2.205650K. Zeman1.611111113
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