TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13058422
Played Sep 1Finished
Ondrej Kus
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119115711119
Kamil Przeczek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:03 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kus to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Kus above · Kamil Przeczek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 93 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Kus at 59.8%
93 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kus 8–2 Kamil Przeczek Kamil Przeczek has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Kus
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kus 1450 vs Przeczek 1353
Kus
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kus 60% vs Przeczek 20%
Kus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kus 60% vs Przeczek 10%
Kus
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kus -1 · Przeczek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przeczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKus 1.67 / Przeczek 2.10
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kus)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13058422
Kus1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 50 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it67% 36 of 54
Przeczek2.10
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 16 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKus8wins
AwayPrzeczek2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKus leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKus85.7%6 of 7
AwayPrzeczek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kus7Przeczek3n = 10Kus took 7 of 10
S2Kus8Przeczek2n = 10Kus took 8 of 10
S3Kus5Przeczek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kus3Przeczek3n = 6split evenly
S5Kus3Przeczek1n = 4Kus took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKusPrzeczekK − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.634.4+6.2per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKusPrzeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 507 vs 68 / 15250.3%44.7%255 / 507 vs 68 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KusKus 1.67/Przeczek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.8%
Kus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus—811117113K. Przeczek—11951192
WAug 18 · 18:10O. Kus—11119113K. Przeczek—951151
WAug 4 · 20:15O. Kus—11117113K. Przeczek—471181
WJul 3 · 14:15O. Kus—1112113K. Przeczek—71090
WJun 23 · 16:10O. Kus—1011118123K. Przeczek—126811102
WApr 24 · 17:15O. Kus—1111113K. Przeczek—9740
WApr 24 · 15:45O. Kus—11101511113K. Przeczek—81217842
LMar 13 · 09:10O. Kus—6560K. Przeczek—1111113
LJan 29 · 21:15O. Kus—111178122K. Przeczek—731111143
WDec 9 · 18:40O. Kus—1111113K. Przeczek—8550
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
K. Przeczek10
WSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113LSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 21:18F. Theodor1.677811111K. Przeczek2.1011119133WSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113LSep 3 · 19:15K. Przeczek1.806890F. Theodor1.911111113WSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113WSep 1 · 20:40J. Vanous2.0067171182K. Przeczek1.731111157113LSep 1 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.617580J. Vanous2.201111113
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