TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13073638
Played Sep 3Finished
Vojtech Molin
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210116––––
Ondrej Kus
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVojtech Molin above · Ondrej Kus below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6
58 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Molin 3–4 Ondrej Kus Vojtech Molin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kus form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.80 / Kus 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Molin)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13073638
Molin1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 16 of 29
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it83% 10 of 12
Kus1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 76 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back29% 22 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMolin3wins
AwayKus4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKus leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolinn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKus75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin2Kus4n = 6Kus took 4 of 6
S2Molin2Kus4n = 6Kus took 4 of 6
S3Molin5Kus1n = 6Molin took 5 of 6
S4Molin2Kus2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMolinKusM − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match35.037.2−2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinKusBasisWin rate · lifetime62 / 135 vs 255 / 51145.9%49.9%62 / 135 vs 255 / 511Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.80/Kus 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 3 · 18:45V. Molin—1111113O. Kus—9780
LAug 19 · 21:03V. Molin—7101191O. Kus—11125113
WAug 19 · 19:10V. Molin—71111113O. Kus—116891
LAug 10 · 14:15V. Molin—11211662O. Kus—811911113
LJun 21 · 16:10V. Molin—7750O. Kus—1111113
LDec 16 · 11:15V. Molin—810111152O. Kus—111245113
V. Molin10
WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113
O. Kus10
LSep 3 · 19:45O. Kus1.73671251F. Theodor2.00111110113LSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 17:45O. Kus1.6711911262K. Przeczek2.10311811113LSep 1 · 21:08K. Zeman1.911111113O. Kus1.807670WSep 1 · 19:40O. Kus2.0011124113K. Zeman1.736101181WSep 1 · 18:40O. Kus1.67811117113K. Przeczek2.1011951192LSep 1 · 17:40O. Kus1.8371111882J. Vanous1.83116611113WAug 29 · 09:09J. Volny1.57811771O. Kus2.2511611113WAug 29 · 08:10O. Kus1.501111113J. Coufal2.507890LAug 29 · 06:40J. Volny1.571210118113O. Kus2.25101291162
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