TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079316
Played Sep 4Finished
Petr Chlad
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5116111214––––
Vojtech Molin
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Vojtech Molin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 59 set 3, 12-14
59 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlad 4–3 Vojtech Molin Vojtech Molin has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chlad form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlad 1.80 / Molin 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chlad)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13079316
Chlad1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 34 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it70% 19 of 27
Molin1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 13 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back41% 7 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeChlad4wins
AwayMolin3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderChlad leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChladn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMolin40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlad2Molin5n = 7Molin took 5 of 7
S2Chlad5Molin2n = 7Chlad took 5 of 7
S3Chlad5Molin2n = 7Chlad took 5 of 7
S4Chlad3Molin4n = 7Molin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricChladMolinC − MBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match44.142.9+1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChladMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 269 vs 64 / 13948.7%46%131 / 269 vs 64 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChladChlad 1.80/Molin 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chlad · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad—1411144113V. Molin—165121192
WJun 21 · 16:40P. Chlad—81111123V. Molin—1168101
LJun 21 · 15:10P. Chlad—111011992V. Molin—512811113
WJun 10 · 16:45P. Chlad—121113133V. Molin—10615111
LJun 10 · 14:45P. Chlad—41011101V. Molin—11126123
LFeb 18 · 19:15P. Chlad—7127101V. Molin—111011123
WDec 5 · 09:10P. Chlad—91112113V. Molin—1181091
P. Chlad10
LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192LSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171WSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113WSep 2 · 07:40P. Chlad2.0041111113J. Sindler1.73117891LSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113WSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LAug 29 · 16:45P. Chlad1.83961181R. Jancak1.8311115113WAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 14:40P. Chlad1.91451111113R. Jancak1.8011116922
V. Molin10
LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113
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