TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041065
Played Aug 29Finished
Petr Chlad
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
13116111311119––
Bartolomej Jonas
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timePetr Chlad to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Bartolomej Jonas below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 1-1
Point 67 set 4, 1-1 — our read held Petr Chlad at 57.7%
67 points drawn · the score is 18 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Petr Chlad 2–1 Bartolomej Jonas Bartolomej Jonas has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Chlad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlad 1426 vs Jonas 1358
Chlad
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlad 60% vs Jonas 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlad 70% vs Jonas 50%
Chlad
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlad +1 · Jonas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chlad)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jonas form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlad 1.61 / Jonas 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Chlad)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13041065
Chlad1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 31 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it67% 16 of 24
Jonas2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 10 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeChlad2wins
AwayJonas1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderChlad leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlad2Jonas1n = 3Chlad took 2 of 3
S2Chlad1Jonas2n = 3Jonas took 2 of 3
S3Chlad1Jonas2n = 3Jonas took 2 of 3
S4Chlad2Jonas1n = 3Chlad took 2 of 3
S5Chlad2Jonas1n = 3Chlad took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricChladJonasC − JBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match49.047.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChladJonasBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 260 vs 34 / 7948.5%43%126 / 260 vs 34 / 79Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChladChlad 1.61/Jonas 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Chlad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chlad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 14 · 16:43P. Chlad—119131082B. Jonas—5111112113
WJul 14 · 15:40P. Chlad—173511113B. Jonas—151111672
WJul 10 · 15:40P. Chlad—1111511113B. Jonas—13811632
P. Chlad10
LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192LSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171WSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113WSep 2 · 07:40P. Chlad2.0041111113J. Sindler1.73117891LSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113WSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LAug 29 · 16:45P. Chlad1.83961181R. Jancak1.8311115113WAug 29 · 14:40P. Chlad1.91451111113R. Jancak1.8011116922
B. Jonas10
WAug 30 · 20:44B. Jonas1.8081111113R. Jancak1.91119681WAug 30 · 19:40B. Jonas1.83111111143R. Jancak1.836137121LAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113LAug 30 · 17:40B. Jonas1.67711121192J. Oleksik2.10115146113WAug 29 · 17:15F. Mandrysz1.7711951292B. Jonas1.877111110113WAug 29 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.10881171B. Jonas1.6711113113WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113WAug 8 · 18:40B. Jonas1.83158911113I. Jemelka1.83131111492
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.