TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13041082
Played Aug 29Finished
Filip Mandrysz
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811113711––
Bartolomej Jonas
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:51 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeBartolomej Jonas to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Bartolomej Jonas below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Bartolomej Jonas at 55.8%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:51What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jonas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mandrysz 1313 vs Jonas 1352
Jonas
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mandrysz 40% vs Jonas 60%
Jonas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mandrysz 30% vs Jonas 50%
Jonas
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mandrysz +1 · Jonas +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jonas)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMandrysz 2.10 / Jonas 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Jonas)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13041082
Mandrysz2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 51 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back32% 24 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Jonas1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite31% won 5 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMandryszJonasBasisWin rate · lifetime200 / 396 vs 34 / 8050.5%42.5%200 / 396 vs 34 / 80Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JonasMandrysz 2.10/Jonas 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Jonas · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jonas won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Mandrysz10
WSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113
B. Jonas10
WAug 30 · 20:44B. Jonas1.8081111113R. Jancak1.91119681WAug 30 · 19:40B. Jonas1.83111111143R. Jancak1.836137121LAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113LAug 30 · 17:40B. Jonas1.67711121192J. Oleksik2.10115146113WAug 29 · 17:15F. Mandrysz1.7711951292B. Jonas1.877111110113LAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 14:10B. Jonas1.91111111113R. Jancak1.80135981LAug 8 · 21:15B. Jonas1.8381112982R. Jancak1.831171011113LAug 8 · 19:40B. Jonas1.73811751R. Jancak2.0011911113WAug 8 · 18:40B. Jonas1.83158911113I. Jemelka1.83131111492
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