TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086400
Played Sep 6Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210611119511117
Filip Mandrysz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Filip Mandrysz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-7
Point 91 set 5, 9-7 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.0%
91 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 27–17 Filip Mandrysz Filip Mandrysz has won 17 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:17What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-17 in 44
Sindler
Correct
gap of 10 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1382 vs Mandrysz 1361
Sindler
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 60% vs Mandrysz 80%
Mandrysz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 50% vs Mandrysz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +1 · Mandrysz +4
Mandrysz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mandrysz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.73 / Mandrysz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sindler)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13086400
Sindler1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 128 of 257
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it67% 82 of 123
Mandrysz2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 58 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back34% 28 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler7wins
AwayMandrysz3wins
9 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 7–3, and 9 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler57.1%4 of 7
AwayMandrysz0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler7Mandrysz3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S2Sindler4Mandrysz6n = 10Mandrysz took 6 of 10
S3Sindler3Mandrysz7n = 10Mandrysz took 7 of 10
S4Sindler7Mandrysz3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S5Sindler6Mandrysz3n = 9Sindler took 6 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerMandryszS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.945.2+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerMandryszBasisWin rate · lifetime383 / 750 vs 215 / 42551.1%50.6%383 / 750 vs 215 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.73/Mandrysz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler—126115113F. Mandrysz—101191172
LSep 1 · 05:40J. Sindler—117101182F. Mandrysz—811129113
WAug 30 · 14:40J. Sindler—148119113F. Mandrysz—121161152
WAug 27 · 07:10J. Sindler—511914113F. Mandrysz—119111242
WAug 3 · 08:15J. Sindler—911811113F. Mandrysz—11711792
LAug 2 · 15:40J. Sindler—11811292F. Mandrysz—611611113
WJul 29 · 17:15J. Sindler—116813113F. Mandrysz—411111162
WJul 29 · 15:45J. Sindler—411811113F. Mandrysz—11511892
WJul 27 · 06:15J. Sindler—11115113F. Mandrysz—881191
LJul 26 · 17:20J. Sindler—11371192F. Mandrysz—911116113
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113LSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143LSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
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