Dominik Stefek vs Jaroslav Sindler 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13081572

Played Sep 5Finished

Dominik Stefek

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1166111191113511

Jaroslav Sindler

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%

Graded at full time

Dominik Stefek to win

55.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingDominik Stefek above · Jaroslav Sindler below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 11-13

Set 5 · 5-11

Point 94 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Dominik Stefek at 55.8%

94 points played in total.

H2H Dominik Stefek 6–7 Jaroslav Sindler Dominik Stefek has won 6 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4SplitHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 08:08

What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Stefek

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

6-7 in 13

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Stefek 1259 vs Sindler 1336

Sindler

Correct

both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Stefek 40% vs Sindler 60%

Sindler

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Stefek 40% vs Sindler 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Stefek -1 · Sindler +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sindler form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStefek 1.67 / Sindler 2.10

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Stefek)-1.8pp (anti-value)

TT Cup · #13081572

Stefek1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite47% won 16 of 34

Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20

Sindler2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog55% won 98 of 177

Down 0–1, comes back33% 27 of 83

Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStefek6wins

AwaySindler4wins

4 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStefek71.4%5 of 7

AwaySindler66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stefek7Sindler3n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10

S2Stefek4Sindler6n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10

S3Stefek5Sindler5n = 10split evenly

S4Stefek5Sindler3n = 8Stefek took 5 of 8

S5Stefek2Sindler2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricStefekSindlerStefek − SindlerBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.541.2+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStefekSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime43 / 92 vs 380 / 74646.7%50.9%43 / 92 vs 380 / 746Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Stefek

Stefek 1.67/Sindler 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Stefek · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Sindler won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 5 · 16:43D. Stefek—119119102J. Sindler—811411123

LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek—116111152J. Sindler—611913113

LAug 27 · 09:09D. Stefek—10111191J. Sindler—12713113

WAug 27 · 07:40D. Stefek—1111113J. Sindler—7980

LAug 13 · 12:40D. Stefek—10570J. Sindler—1211113

WAug 13 · 10:10D. Stefek—11911123J. Sindler—5119101

WAug 13 · 09:13D. Stefek—111111113J. Sindler—991391

WAug 13 · 05:40D. Stefek—1291111113J. Sindler—14119972

WAug 11 · 11:15D. Stefek—11115113J. Sindler—691191

WAug 11 · 06:45D. Stefek—1181311133J. Sindler—911159112

D. Stefek10

WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113 LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090 LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990 LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113 LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102 LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123 LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153 LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113 WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042 LAug 30 · 10:40D. Stefek1.571163101P. Sturma2.2581111123

J. Sindler10

LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113 WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102 LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113 WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123 WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.