Jaroslav Sindler vs Dominik Stefek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13083538

Played Sep 5Finished

Jaroslav Sindler

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

8111194111191210

Dominik Stefek

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Dominik Stefek below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 4-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 12-10

Point 96 set 5, 12-10

96 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Sindler 6–6 Dominik Stefek Dead even across their 12 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stefek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSindler 1.80 / Stefek 1.91

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Sindler)+2.5pp

TT Cup · #13083538

Sindler1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite50% won 127 of 256

Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49

Up 1–0, closes it67% 82 of 123

Stefek1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog52% won 26 of 50

Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSindler4wins

AwayStefek6wins

4 of 10 to a deciderStefek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSindler75%3 of 4

AwayStefek83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sindler4Stefek6n = 10Stefek took 6 of 10

S2Sindler6Stefek4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10

S3Sindler5Stefek5n = 10split evenly

S4Sindler2Stefek6n = 8Stefek took 6 of 8

S5Sindler2Stefek2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSindlerStefekSindler − StefekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.542.4−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSindlerStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime379 / 745 vs 42 / 8750.9%48.3%379 / 745 vs 42 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sindler

Sindler 1.80/Stefek 1.91

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Sindler · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Sindler won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 5 · 13:40J. Sindler—611913113D. Stefek—116111152

WAug 27 · 09:09J. Sindler—12713113D. Stefek—10111191

LAug 27 · 07:40J. Sindler—7980D. Stefek—1111113

WAug 13 · 12:40J. Sindler—1211113D. Stefek—10570

LAug 13 · 10:10J. Sindler—5119101D. Stefek—11911123

LAug 13 · 09:13J. Sindler—991391D. Stefek—111111113

LAug 13 · 05:40J. Sindler—14119972D. Stefek—1291111113

LAug 11 · 11:15J. Sindler—691191D. Stefek—11115113

LAug 11 · 06:45J. Sindler—911159112D. Stefek—1181311133

WAug 7 · 07:15J. Sindler—111395113D. Stefek—911111172

J. Sindler10

LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113 WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113 WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113 WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123 WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122

D. Stefek10

WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113 LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090 LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990 LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113 LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123 LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153 LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113 LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113 WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042 LAug 30 · 10:40D. Stefek1.571163101P. Sturma2.2581111123

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