TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13068260
Played Sep 3Finished
Jaroslav Sindler
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101164115111012
Richard Jancak
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:30 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Sindler above · Richard Jancak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 92 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 59.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Sindler 17–9 Richard Jancak Richard Jancak has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:30What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sindler
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-9 in 26
Sindler
Wrong
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sindler 1335 vs Jancak 1302
Sindler
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sindler 60% vs Jancak 40%
Sindler
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sindler 40% vs Jancak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sindler +2 · Jancak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSindler 1.61 / Jancak 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sindler)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13068260
Sindler1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 127 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it68% 83 of 123
Jancak2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 43 of 95
Down 0–1, comes back34% 18 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSindler6wins
AwayJancak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSindler83.3%5 of 6
AwayJancak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sindler6Jancak4n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S2Sindler5Jancak5n = 10split evenly
S3Sindler7Jancak3n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S4Sindler4Jancak4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSindlerJancakS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.1+1.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSindlerJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime377 / 740 vs 134 / 26551%50.6%377 / 740 vs 134 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSindler 1.61/Jancak 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jancak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 13:40J. Sindler—1111113R. Jancak—7870
WAug 15 · 09:20J. Sindler—1111113R. Jancak—5990
WAug 15 · 07:15J. Sindler—11911113R. Jancak—811261
WAug 13 · 07:40J. Sindler—11811113R. Jancak—311981
LJul 30 · 13:23J. Sindler—981261R. Jancak—111110113
WJul 30 · 10:10J. Sindler—21413113R. Jancak—11121191
LJul 24 · 09:40J. Sindler—136591R. Jancak—111111113
LJul 3 · 10:15J. Sindler—311691R. Jancak—11811113
WJul 3 · 08:45J. Sindler—1111123143R. Jancak—951411122
LJul 3 · 07:15J. Sindler—75111292R. Jancak—1111310113
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 10:45J. Sindler2.10911811143L. Zustina1.67112117122
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113
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