Filip Mandrysz vs Richard Jancak 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13088479

Played Sep 6Finished

Filip Mandrysz

Home

1.51

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1181139111210––

Richard Jancak

Away

2.37

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Richard Jancak below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 75 set 4, 12-10

75 points played in total.

H2H Filip Mandrysz 16–6 Richard Jancak Richard Jancak has won 6 of their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Mandrysz)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jancak form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMandrysz 1.51 / Jancak 2.37

Signal prob.63% / 37%

Edge (Mandrysz)+1.6pp

TT Cup · #13088479

Mandrysz1.51

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite58% won 75 of 130

Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39

Up 1–0, closes it72% 51 of 71

Jancak2.37

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog45% won 44 of 97

Down 0–1, comes back35% 19 of 55

Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMandrysz8wins

AwayJancak2wins

4 of 10 to a deciderMandrysz leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMandrysz83.3%5 of 6

AwayJancak25%1 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mandrysz6Jancak4n = 10Mandrysz took 6 of 10

S2Mandrysz5Jancak5n = 10split evenly

S3Mandrysz6Jancak4n = 10Mandrysz took 6 of 10

S4Mandrysz7Jancak1n = 8Mandrysz took 7 of 8

S5Mandrysz3Jancak1n = 4Mandrysz took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMandryszJancakM − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.136.7+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMandryszJancakBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 424 vs 135 / 27050.5%50%214 / 424 vs 135 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mandrysz

Mandrysz 1.51/Jancak 2.37

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

62.7%

Mandrysz · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Mandrysz won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 6 · 16:15F. Mandrysz—11911113R. Jancak—311651

WAug 30 · 16:38F. Mandrysz—1111113R. Jancak—9980

LAug 30 · 16:10F. Mandrysz—611561R. Jancak—11811113

WAug 29 · 16:10F. Mandrysz—91111113R. Jancak—119551

WAug 17 · 08:48F. Mandrysz—1211611113R. Jancak—101311832

LAug 17 · 08:10F. Mandrysz—16991172R. Jancak—1411119113

WAug 8 · 15:40F. Mandrysz—1112113R. Jancak—41030

WJul 20 · 05:45F. Mandrysz—581311113R. Jancak—111111552

WJul 3 · 13:25F. Mandrysz—121111123R. Jancak—10139101

WJul 3 · 10:45F. Mandrysz—511711113R. Jancak—11811392

F. Mandrysz10

LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131 WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113 LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163 LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860 WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280 WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113 WSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113 LSep 3 · 16:48F. Mandrysz2.10111169122L. Zustina1.67731111143 LSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142

R. Jancak10

LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113 WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113 LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152 LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113 LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113 LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261 LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123 WSep 3 · 11:15R. Sedivy2.007650R. Jancak1.731111113

Upcoming Matches

F. Mandrysz

Sep 7 · 08:15F. Mandrysz1.30T. Slivka3.40—

R. Jancak

Nothing scheduled

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