TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082001
Played Sep 5Finished
Radomir Benesz
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119119––––
Dominik Stefek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:01 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeDominik Stefek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadomir Benesz above · Dominik Stefek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Dominik Stefek at 54.5%
57 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:01What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stefek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Benesz 1323 vs Stefek 1311
Benesz
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Benesz 20% vs Stefek 0%
Benesz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Benesz 40% vs Stefek 20%
Benesz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Benesz -2 · Stefek -5
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenesz 1.91 / Stefek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stefek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13082001
Benesz1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 28 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Stefek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 16 of 34
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeneszStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 199 vs 42 / 8937.2%47.2%74 / 199 vs 42 / 89Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekBenesz 1.91/Stefek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Benesz won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Benesz10
LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561LSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113WJun 29 · 20:10R. Benesz1.67111110113I. Jemelka2.10921281LJun 29 · 18:40K. Zeman1.571111113R. Benesz2.258940LJun 29 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.911111113R. Benesz1.809370WJun 28 · 21:10R. Jancak1.6138110R. Benesz2.201111133WJun 28 · 19:40P. Jokiel1.677560R. Benesz2.101111113LJun 28 · 19:10R. Jancak1.8311114123R. Benesz1.839711101
D. Stefek10
WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042LAug 30 · 10:40D. Stefek1.571163101P. Sturma2.2581111123
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