TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081751
Played Sep 5Finished
Ivan Jemelka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
18161210117––––
Radomir Benesz
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Benesz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingIvan Jemelka above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 18-16
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 74 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radomir Benesz at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Jemelka 1–1 Radomir Benesz Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Benesz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jemelka 1397 vs Benesz 1306
Jemelka
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jemelka 40% vs Benesz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jemelka 60% vs Benesz 40%
Jemelka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jemelka -3 · Benesz -1
Jemelka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benesz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benesz form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJemelka 2.10 / Benesz 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jemelka)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13081751
Jemelka2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog57% won 21 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back29% 5 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Benesz1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite36% won 5 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJemelka1wins
AwayBenesz1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJemelkaBeneszJ − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.039.5−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJemelkaBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 100 vs 74 / 19846%37.4%46 / 100 vs 74 / 198Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BeneszJemelka 2.10/Benesz 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benesz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jemelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 29 · 20:45I. Jemelka—11611113R. Benesz—811891
LJun 29 · 20:10I. Jemelka—921281R. Benesz—111110113
I. Jemelka10
WSep 5 · 21:10J. Vanous1.73721113112I. Jemelka1.911111911133WSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 18:40I. Jemelka2.38811961J. Vanous1.5311711113LSep 3 · 20:44I. Jemelka1.8391191192O. Vaclahovsky1.83115116113LSep 3 · 19:40T. Ogrocki1.8031611113I. Jemelka1.911114561LSep 3 · 19:10P. Chvojka2.001110118113I. Jemelka1.7321231152WSep 3 · 18:10I. Jemelka2.101011712113O. Vaclahovsky1.67126111052WAug 26 · 09:13J. Sevecek1.50612451I. Jemelka2.50111011113LAug 26 · 07:40J. Sevecek1.801111113I. Jemelka1.918920WAug 26 · 07:10J. Matus2.0074100I. Jemelka1.731111123
R. Benesz10
LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113WJun 29 · 20:10R. Benesz1.67111110113I. Jemelka2.10921281LJun 29 · 18:40K. Zeman1.571111113R. Benesz2.258940LJun 29 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.911111113R. Benesz1.809370WJun 28 · 21:10R. Jancak1.6138110R. Benesz2.201111133WJun 28 · 19:40P. Jokiel1.677560R. Benesz2.101111113LJun 28 · 19:10R. Jancak1.8311114123R. Benesz1.839711101
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.