TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12116601
Played Jun 28Finished
Richard Jancak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191174111210––
Radomir Benesz
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRichard Jancak above · Radomir Benesz below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10
75 points played in total.
H2H Richard Jancak 2–1 Radomir Benesz Radomir Benesz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jancak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benesz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJancak 1.83 / Benesz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jancak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12116601
Jancak1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Benesz1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJancak2wins
AwayBenesz1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderJancak leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jancak2Benesz1n = 3Jancak took 2 of 3
S2Jancak3Benesz0n = 3Jancak took 3 of 3
S3Jancak1Benesz2n = 3Benesz took 2 of 3
S4Jancak1Benesz2n = 3Benesz took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJancakBeneszJ − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match44.042.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJancakBeneszBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 130 vs 72 / 19350%37.3%65 / 130 vs 72 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JancakJancak 1.83/Benesz 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jancak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jancak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 28 · 19:10R. Jancak—11114123R. Benesz—9711101
WMay 24 · 20:45R. Jancak—812119113R. Benesz—111051132
LMay 24 · 17:40R. Jancak—11118672R. Benesz—881111113
R. Jancak10
LSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113WSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 19:15J. Oleksik2.00111169113R. Jancak1.7356111152LSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101LSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942LSep 6 · 14:15M. Sobota2.50111110113R. Jancak1.50761261LSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113WSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123
R. Benesz10
LSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 20:10J. Vanous1.61111111113R. Benesz2.20813561WSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 17:40I. Jemelka2.101812113R. Benesz1.67161070LJun 29 · 20:45R. Benesz1.44811891I. Jemelka2.6311611113WJun 29 · 20:10R. Benesz1.67111110113I. Jemelka2.10921281LJun 29 · 18:40K. Zeman1.571111113R. Benesz2.258940LJun 29 · 18:10P. Jokiel1.911111113R. Benesz1.809370WJun 28 · 21:10R. Jancak1.6138110R. Benesz2.201111133WJun 28 · 19:40P. Jokiel1.677560R. Benesz2.101111113
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