TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081742
Played Sep 5Finished
Dominik Stefek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4112111012––––
Ondrej Skvor
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Skvor to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Stefek above · Ondrej Skvor below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 6-6
Point 40 set 3, 6-6 — our read held Ondrej Skvor at 57.7%
40 points drawn · the score is 10 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Dominik Stefek 0–1 Ondrej Skvor Dominik Stefek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skvor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1376 vs Skvor 1409
Skvor
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 20% vs Skvor 80%
Skvor
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 30% vs Skvor 50%
Skvor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek -3 · Skvor +1
Stefek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skvor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 2.20 / Skvor 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Skvor)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13081742
Stefek2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 26 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Skvor1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 37 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 25 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStefek0wins
AwaySkvor1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSkvor leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStefekSkvorStefek − SkvorBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match37.050.0−13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekSkvorBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 86 vs 64 / 12748.8%50.4%42 / 86 vs 64 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorStefek 2.20/Skvor 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skvor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 15 · 12:15D. Stefek—71161122O. Skvor—119118113
D. Stefek10
WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042LAug 30 · 10:40D. Stefek1.571163101P. Sturma2.2581111123
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113
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