TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13079476
Played Sep 5Finished
Ondrej Skvor
Home
1.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6116111210811––
Patrik Jokiel
Away
1.98
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:49 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timePatrik Jokiel to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
6116111210811––
H2H Ondrej Skvor 5–9 Patrik Jokiel Ondrej Skvor has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Skvor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-9 in 14
Jokiel
Correct
gap of 4 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvor 1339 vs Jokiel 1417
Jokiel
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvor 20% vs Jokiel 40%
Jokiel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvor 20% vs Jokiel 50%
Jokiel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvor -2 · Jokiel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Skvor) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jokiel form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvor 1.65 / Jokiel 1.98
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Skvor)+0.6pp
TT Cup · #13079476
Skvor1.65
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 37 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 25 of 39
Jokiel1.98
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 77 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back36% 24 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvor4wins
AwayJokiel6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJokiel leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvor75%3 of 4
AwayJokiel83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvor4Jokiel6n = 10Jokiel took 6 of 10
S2Skvor5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S3Skvor5Jokiel5n = 10split evenly
S4Skvor3Jokiel3n = 6split evenly
S5Skvor1Jokiel2n = 3Jokiel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvorJokielS − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.237.5−2.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvorJokielBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 122 vs 195 / 41449.2%47.1%60 / 122 vs 195 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvorSkvor 1.65/Jokiel 1.98
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.1%
Skvor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jokiel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor—661281P. Jokiel—111110113
WAug 30 · 14:15O. Skvor—91112113P. Jokiel—1191071
WAug 15 · 10:15O. Skvor—121123113P. Jokiel—108111172
WAug 15 · 08:50O. Skvor—1111123P. Jokiel—82100
LAug 15 · 06:45O. Skvor—111251192P. Jokiel—814119113
LAug 7 · 15:15O. Skvor—591191P. Jokiel—11117113
LJul 25 · 16:15O. Skvor—51340P. Jokiel—1115113
LJul 18 · 10:40O. Skvor—7690P. Jokiel—1111113
WJul 11 · 21:15O. Skvor—1111113P. Jokiel—3980
LJul 11 · 19:10O. Skvor—81171182P. Jokiel—114118113
O. Skvor10
WSep 5 · 17:14M. Lorenc1.44713551O. Skvor2.63111111113WSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123WSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113LSep 5 · 14:10O. Skvor1.91111171292M. Lorenc1.80891114113WSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 11:10T. Ogrocki2.2513135101O. Skvor1.57111511123LSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.67661281J. Patrik2.10111110113LSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 20:10O. Skvor1.537690J. Vanous2.381111113
P. Jokiel10
LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691WSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482WAug 31 · 19:10T. Ogrocki1.571281291P. Jokiel2.25101114113
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