Patrik Jokiel vs Vojtech Molin 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13076881

Played Sep 4Finished

Patrik Jokiel

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

115911311119117

Vojtech Molin

Away

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%

Graded at full time

Vojtech Molin to win

57.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingPatrik Jokiel above · Vojtech Molin below

Set 1 · 11-5

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 3-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 11-7

Point 88 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Molin at 57.7%

88 points played in total.

H2H Patrik Jokiel 4–4 Vojtech Molin Dead even across their 8 meetings.

Last 8 · 4–4Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 10:28

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Molin

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-4 in 8

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Jokiel 1409 vs Molin 1419

Molin

Wrong

both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Jokiel 40% vs Molin 60%

Molin

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Jokiel 40% vs Molin 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Jokiel -1 · Molin -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Molin) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsJokiel 2.25 / Molin 1.57

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Molin)+0.0pp

TT Cup · #13076881

Jokiel2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog49% won 75 of 154

Down 0–1, comes back37% 24 of 65

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24

Molin1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite55% won 17 of 31

Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 8 meetings

HomeJokiel4wins

AwayMolin4wins

2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeJokiel75%3 of 4

AwayMolin75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Jokiel4Molin4n = 8split evenly

S2Jokiel3Molin5n = 8Molin took 5 of 8

S3Jokiel3Molin5n = 8Molin took 5 of 8

S4Jokiel4Molin2n = 6Jokiel took 4 of 6

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home338%

3–2Decider, home113%

2–3Decider, away113%

1–3Four sets, away113%

0–3Straight, away225%

These 8 meetings

MetricJokielMolinJ − MBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match37.837.80.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricJokielMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 411 vs 64 / 13847%46.4%193 / 411 vs 64 / 138Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Molin

Jokiel 2.25/Molin 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.9%

Molin · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Jokiel won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record8

LAug 5 · 21:13P. Jokiel—10870V. Molin—1211113

WAug 5 · 19:40P. Jokiel—11118143V. Molin—5911121

WMar 17 · 22:15P. Jokiel—41111113V. Molin—116871

LMar 17 · 20:45P. Jokiel—1110111172V. Molin—612138113

LMar 5 · 18:13P. Jokiel—911681V. Molin—11411103

WMar 5 · 16:40P. Jokiel—11911113V. Molin—411981

WDec 17 · 09:55P. Jokiel—1111115113V. Molin—91391162

LDec 17 · 07:45P. Jokiel—7860V. Molin—1111113

P. Jokiel10

LSep 5 · 13:10P. Jokiel1.688380O. Skvor1.981111113 WSep 5 · 12:10P. Jokiel1.82111111113T. Ogrocki1.78135891 LSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162 WSep 5 · 10:10O. Skvor1.65661281P. Jokiel1.98111110113 LSep 4 · 21:15K. Przeczek1.50111111113P. Jokiel2.50713691 LSep 4 · 18:40P. Jokiel2.257690K. Przeczek1.571111113 WSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171 LAug 31 · 21:10F. Theodor1.7011611113P. Jokiel1.96911551 LAug 31 · 19:40F. Theodor1.574111011113P. Jokiel2.2511912482 WAug 31 · 19:10T. Ogrocki1.571281291P. Jokiel2.25101114113

V. Molin10

WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143 LSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192 WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100 WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060 LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113 WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113 LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680 WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113 LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113 LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.