TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076658
Played Sep 4Finished
Petr Chlad
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
14161151412411119
Vojtech Molin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Chlad to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Vojtech Molin below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 107 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Petr Chlad at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlad 3–3 Vojtech Molin Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:29What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Molin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chlad 1428 vs Molin 1429
Molin
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlad 60% vs Molin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlad 60% vs Molin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlad -1 · Molin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chlad)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlad 1.91 / Molin 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chlad)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13076658
Chlad1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 27 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Molin1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 17 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeChlad3wins
AwayMolin3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChladn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMolin50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlad2Molin4n = 6Molin took 4 of 6
S2Chlad4Molin2n = 6Chlad took 4 of 6
S3Chlad4Molin2n = 6Chlad took 4 of 6
S4Chlad3Molin3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricChladMolinC − MBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match42.541.2+1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChladMolinBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 267 vs 64 / 13748.7%46.7%130 / 267 vs 64 / 137Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChladChlad 1.91/Molin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chlad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Chlad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJun 21 · 16:40P. Chlad—81111123V. Molin—1168101
LJun 21 · 15:10P. Chlad—111011992V. Molin—512811113
WJun 10 · 16:45P. Chlad—121113133V. Molin—10615111
LJun 10 · 14:45P. Chlad—41011101V. Molin—11126123
LFeb 18 · 19:15P. Chlad—7127101V. Molin—111011123
WDec 5 · 09:10P. Chlad—91112113V. Molin—1181091
P. Chlad10
LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762LSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171WSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113WSep 2 · 07:40P. Chlad2.0041111113J. Sindler1.73117891LSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113WSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LAug 29 · 16:45P. Chlad1.83961181R. Jancak1.8311115113WAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 14:40P. Chlad1.91451111113R. Jancak1.8011116922
V. Molin10
WSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 19:40P. Jokiel2.25119311113V. Molin1.5751111972WSep 4 · 18:10V. Molin2.101111123K. Przeczek1.6728100WSep 3 · 20:48V. Molin1.801112113O. Kus1.9181060LSep 3 · 20:15V. Molin1.91811951K. Przeczek1.8011711113WSep 3 · 18:45O. Kus1.839780V. Molin1.831111113LSep 3 · 18:15F. Theodor1.911111113V. Molin1.805680WSep 2 · 20:40O. Skvor1.5771070V. Molin2.251112113LSep 2 · 19:40V. Molin1.80111330M. Janik1.911315113LSep 2 · 18:40V. Molin1.919570O. Skvor1.801111113
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