Petr Chlad vs Jaroslav Sindler 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13061647

Played Sep 2Finished

Petr Chlad

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

411117118119––

Jaroslav Sindler

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:14 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%

Graded at full time

Jaroslav Sindler to win

54.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Jaroslav Sindler below

Set 1 · 4-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 72 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 54.9%

72 points played in total.

H2H Petr Chlad 4–10 Jaroslav Sindler Petr Chlad has won 4 of their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 24:14

What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Sindler

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-10 in 14

Sindler

Wrong

gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Chlad 1454 vs Sindler 1335

Chlad

Correct

both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Chlad 60% vs Sindler 40%

Chlad

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Chlad 60% vs Sindler 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Chlad -1 · Sindler +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sindler) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sindler form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChlad 2.00 / Sindler 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Sindler)+0.3pp

TT Cup · #13061647

Chlad2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog37% won 27 of 73

Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 51

Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27

Sindler1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite50% won 129 of 260

Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it67% 84 of 125

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeChlad3wins

AwaySindler7wins

4 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChladn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwaySindler75%6 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chlad2Sindler8n = 10Sindler took 8 of 10

S2Chlad3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10

S3Chlad8Sindler2n = 10Chlad took 8 of 10

S4Chlad5Sindler5n = 10split evenly

S5Chlad1Sindler3n = 4Sindler took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricChladSindlerC − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.740.7−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChladSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 266 vs 378 / 74248.9%50.9%130 / 266 vs 378 / 742Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sindler

Chlad 2.00/Sindler 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Sindler · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Chlad won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 2 · 07:40P. Chlad—41111113J. Sindler—117891

LAug 6 · 06:45P. Chlad—711491J. Sindler—11411113

LAug 5 · 06:45P. Chlad—11891192J. Sindler—911115113

LAug 3 · 06:45P. Chlad—6101111132J. Sindler—111258153

LJul 24 · 16:48P. Chlad—641151J. Sindler—11112113

LJul 24 · 14:10P. Chlad—741181J. Sindler—11117113

LJul 14 · 14:40P. Chlad—87111162J. Sindler—111166113

WJul 11 · 14:10P. Chlad—11911123J. Sindler—6116101

WJul 10 · 14:10P. Chlad—911118113J. Sindler—11671162

LJun 30 · 06:45P. Chlad—461261J. Sindler—111110113

P. Chlad10

LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143 LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762 WSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192 LSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171 WSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113 LSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113 WSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690 LAug 29 · 16:45P. Chlad1.83961181R. Jancak1.8311115113 WAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191 WAug 29 · 14:40P. Chlad1.91451111113R. Jancak1.8011116922

J. Sindler10

LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113 WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372 WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942 WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172 WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102 LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571 LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113 WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113 WSep 3 · 13:13R. Jancak2.00781171J. Sindler1.7311119113 LSep 3 · 11:45J. Sindler1.61121145102R. Jancak2.201061111123

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