TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13060489
Played Sep 2Finished
Petr Chlad
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116119––––
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Chlad to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlad above · Lukas Krupnik Snr below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Petr Chlad at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:33What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Chlad
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chlad 1442 vs Snr 1373
Chlad
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlad 60% vs Snr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlad 70% vs Snr 40%
Chlad
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlad -1 · Snr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Chlad) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlad 1.67 / Snr 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Chlad)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13060489
Chlad1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 32 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it68% 17 of 25
Snr2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChladSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 262 vs 52 / 11248.5%46.4%127 / 262 vs 52 / 112Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChladChlad 1.67/Snr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Chlad · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chlad won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Chlad10
LSep 4 · 20:45P. Chlad1.8056120V. Molin1.911111143LSep 4 · 20:10K. Przeczek1.80116611113P. Chlad1.9161111762WSep 4 · 19:10P. Chlad1.911411144113V. Molin1.80165121192LSep 4 · 17:40P. Jokiel2.2511113113P. Chlad1.57981171WSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113WSep 2 · 07:40P. Chlad2.0041111113J. Sindler1.73117891LSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113LAug 29 · 16:45P. Chlad1.83961181R. Jancak1.8311115113WAug 29 · 15:40P. Chlad1.6113613113B. Jonas2.2011111191WAug 29 · 14:40P. Chlad1.91451111113R. Jancak1.8011116922
L. Snr10
WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113WSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113WSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr2.10681151J. Sindler1.6711113113LSep 1 · 09:14L. Snr1.4099100F. Mandrysz2.751111123WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181WSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491WAug 27 · 08:39F. Mandrysz1.733650L. Snr2.001111113
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