TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13061648
Played Sep 2Finished
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811113511––
Jaroslav Sindler
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:15 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Sindler to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Snr above · Jaroslav Sindler below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jaroslav Sindler at 55.8%
66 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Snr 8–8 Jaroslav Sindler Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:15What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sindler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1370 vs Sindler 1335
Snr
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Sindler 20%
Snr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Sindler 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -2 · Sindler -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sindler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sindler form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 2.10 / Sindler 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sindler)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13061648
Snr2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 24 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Sindler1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 129 of 260
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it67% 84 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSnr4wins
AwaySindler6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSindler leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnr75%3 of 4
AwaySindler83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr4Sindler6n = 10Sindler took 6 of 10
S2Snr5Sindler5n = 10split evenly
S3Snr3Sindler7n = 10Sindler took 7 of 10
S4Snr5Sindler5n = 10split evenly
S5Snr2Sindler1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSnrSindlerSnr − SindlerBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.842.6−3.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrSindlerBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 116 vs 378 / 74246.6%50.9%54 / 116 vs 378 / 742Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.340.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SindlerSnr 2.10/Sindler 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Sindler · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sindler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 08:55L. Snr—13117113J. Sindler—1181171
LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr—681151J. Sindler—11113113
WSep 1 · 06:40L. Snr—1715911113J. Sindler—151711972
LAug 27 · 06:10L. Snr—8111181J. Sindler—11513113
WAug 13 · 11:10L. Snr—713211113J. Sindler—111111542
LAug 11 · 05:45L. Snr—414461J. Sindler—111211113
LJun 29 · 09:45L. Snr—115981J. Sindler—91111113
LJun 12 · 06:45L. Snr—871151J. Sindler—11118113
WJun 4 · 12:10L. Snr—11611113J. Sindler—511871
LJun 1 · 12:40L. Snr—51251262J. Sindler—11101110113
L. Snr10
WSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113WSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113WSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LSep 1 · 09:14L. Snr1.4099100F. Mandrysz2.751111123WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181WSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491
J. Sindler10
LSep 6 · 17:18J. Sindler1.67711791M. Sobota2.1011911113WSep 6 · 15:45J. Sindler1.6713101115113M. Sobota2.10151291372WSep 6 · 14:45J. Sindler2.208111011113R. Jancak1.6111612942WSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 16:10M. Lorenc1.8012911113J. Sindler1.911011571LSep 5 · 15:10J. Sindler2.508560O. Skvor1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113LSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113LSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113
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