TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13061657
Played Sep 2Finished
Adam Strelec
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91113111113117611
Lukas Krupnik Snr
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:13 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Strelec to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Strelec above · Lukas Krupnik Snr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 103 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Adam Strelec at 55.8%
103 points played in total.
H2H Adam Strelec 2–1 Lukas Krupnik Snr Lukas Krupnik Snr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Strelec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strelec 1335 vs Snr 1349
Snr
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strelec 60% vs Snr 40%
Strelec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strelec 50% vs Snr 30%
Strelec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strelec +3 · Snr -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Strelec) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrelec 1.67 / Snr 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Strelec)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13061657
Strelec1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 28 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it67% 18 of 27
Snr2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 22 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStrelec2wins
AwaySnr1wins
Strelec leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strelec2Snr1n = 3Strelec took 2 of 3
S2Strelec1Snr2n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S3Strelec3Snr0n = 3Strelec took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStrelecSnrStrelec − SnrBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match34.733.7+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrelecSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 212 vs 52 / 11449.1%45.6%104 / 212 vs 52 / 114Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrelecStrelec 1.67/Snr 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Strelec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec—11711113L. Snr—911491
LJun 4 · 12:40A. Strelec—391171L. Snr—11119113
WJun 4 · 09:40A. Strelec—1111123L. Snr—97100
A. Strelec10
LSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131LSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113WSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113WSep 2 · 06:10J. Sindler1.80139513102A. Strelec1.9111111111123WSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler1.838111151A. Strelec1.8311139113LSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler1.7311117113A. Strelec2.00891181LSep 1 · 07:10F. Mandrysz1.671111113A. Strelec2.109460WSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491
L. Snr10
WSep 7 · 07:45A. Strelec1.83711861L. Snr1.8311511113WSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113WSep 2 · 08:55J. Sindler1.671181171L. Snr2.1013117113LSep 2 · 07:10L. Snr2.10681151J. Sindler1.6711113113LSep 2 · 05:40P. Chlad1.671111113L. Snr2.104690LSep 1 · 09:14L. Snr1.4099100F. Mandrysz2.751111123WSep 1 · 08:10L. Snr1.5713113113F. Mandrysz2.251171181WSep 1 · 06:40J. Sindler1.57151711972L. Snr2.251715911113LSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.