TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13089643
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Strelec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1159111210117––
Tadeas Slivka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:51 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeTadeas Slivka to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Strelec above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tadeas Slivka at 54.1%
76 points played in total.
H2H Adam Strelec 3–3 Tadeas Slivka Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:51What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slivka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strelec 1343 vs Slivka 1355
Slivka
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strelec 60% vs Slivka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strelec 50% vs Slivka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strelec +1 · Slivka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slivka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrelec 2.00 / Slivka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Slivka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13089643
Strelec2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 34 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Slivka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 20 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStrelec3wins
AwaySlivka3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrelec60%3 of 5
AwaySlivkan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strelec5Slivka1n = 6Strelec took 5 of 6
S2Strelec2Slivka4n = 6Slivka took 4 of 6
S3Strelec3Slivka3n = 6split evenly
S4Strelec4Slivka2n = 6Strelec took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricStrelecSlivkaStrelec − SlivkaBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match40.040.5−0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrelecSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 216 vs 63 / 12749.1%49.6%106 / 216 vs 63 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlivkaStrelec 2.00/Slivka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slivka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strelec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec—11912113T. Slivka—5111071
LJul 31 · 09:10A. Strelec—431171T. Slivka—11117113
LJul 31 · 05:40A. Strelec—111147102T. Slivka—661111123
WMay 6 · 06:10A. Strelec—141111113T. Slivka—1281391
LMar 4 · 07:40A. Strelec—11561172T. Slivka—911115113
WDec 18 · 12:15A. Strelec—13711113T. Slivka—1111851
A. Strelec10
WSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131LSep 2 · 09:25A. Strelec2.10711111072P. Chlad1.65119812113LSep 2 · 08:10A. Strelec1.67913111162L. Snr2.101111137113WSep 2 · 06:40P. Chlad1.6788111192A. Strelec2.10111197113WSep 2 · 06:10J. Sindler1.80139513102A. Strelec1.9111111111123WSep 1 · 08:43J. Sindler1.838111151A. Strelec1.8311139113LSep 1 · 07:40J. Sindler1.7311117113A. Strelec2.00891181LSep 1 · 07:10F. Mandrysz1.671111113A. Strelec2.109460WSep 1 · 06:10A. Strelec1.8311711113L. Snr1.83911491LAug 28 · 08:38A. Strelec1.736560J. Matus2.001111113
T. Slivka10
WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113LAug 19 · 12:43T. Slivka1.50971681M. Sobota2.50111114113LAug 19 · 11:40T. Slivka1.801011331D. Stefek1.9112911113LAug 19 · 10:40T. Slivka1.7311811572P. Sturma2.00611911113WAug 19 · 09:40T. Slivka1.801111113M. Sobota1.917680WAug 5 · 13:20T. Slivka2.051111133L. Jr1.6379110
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