TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12466252
Played Aug 20Finished
Dominik Stefek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311116116––––
Tadeas Slivka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:35 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeDominik Stefek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Stefek above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Dominik Stefek at 59.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Stefek 2–0 Tadeas Slivka Tadeas Slivka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:35What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Stefek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1428 vs Slivka 1368
Stefek
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 80% vs Slivka 40%
Stefek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 80% vs Slivka 60%
Stefek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek +3 · Slivka +2
Stefek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stefek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stefek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.57 / Slivka 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Stefek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12466252
Stefek1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite32% won 6 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it44% 4 of 9
Slivka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back25% 3 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStefek2wins
AwaySlivka0wins
Stefek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStefekSlivkaStefek − SlivkaBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.530.0+15.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 67 vs 62 / 12447.8%50%32 / 67 vs 62 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.57/Slivka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stefek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 20 · 14:10D. Stefek—111115113T. Slivka—551761
WAug 19 · 11:40D. Stefek—12911113T. Slivka—1011331
D. Stefek10
WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113LAug 19 · 12:43T. Slivka1.50971681M. Sobota2.50111114113LAug 19 · 11:40T. Slivka1.801011331D. Stefek1.9112911113LAug 19 · 10:40T. Slivka1.7311811572P. Sturma2.00611911113WAug 19 · 09:40T. Slivka1.801111113M. Sobota1.917680
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T. Slivka
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