TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12457486
Played Aug 19Finished
Tadeas Slivka
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119311311––
Dominik Stefek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Slivka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTadeas Slivka above · Dominik Stefek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 70 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Tadeas Slivka at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Slivka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Slivka 1385 vs Stefek 1365
Slivka
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slivka 80% vs Stefek 60%
Slivka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slivka 90% vs Stefek 60%
Slivka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slivka -1 · Stefek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slivka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlivka 1.80 / Stefek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slivka)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12457486
Slivka1.80
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 22 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 16 of 24
Stefek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 17 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back26% 5 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlivkaStefekBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 119 vs 25 / 5850.4%43.1%60 / 119 vs 25 / 58Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlivkaSlivka 1.80/Stefek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Slivka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stefek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 08:15T. Slivka3.409390F. Mandrysz1.301111113LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113WAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113LAug 19 · 12:43T. Slivka1.50971681M. Sobota2.50111114113LAug 19 · 10:40T. Slivka1.7311811572P. Sturma2.00611911113WAug 19 · 09:40T. Slivka1.801111113M. Sobota1.917680
D. Stefek10
WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113WAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113
Upcoming Matches
T. Slivka
D. Stefek
Nothing scheduled
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