TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12464406
Played Aug 20Finished
Radek Zajac
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1186111191012811
Tadeas Slivka
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:50 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeTadeas Slivka to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zajac above · Tadeas Slivka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Tadeas Slivka at 73.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zajac 0–3 Tadeas Slivka Radek Zajac has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Slivka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Slivka
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajac 1214 vs Slivka 1357
Slivka
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajac 0% vs Slivka 20%
Slivka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajac 20% vs Slivka 60%
Slivka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajac -5 · Slivka -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Slivka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slivka form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajac 2.75 / Slivka 1.40
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Slivka)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12464406
Zajac2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Slivka1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 23 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it65% 17 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZajac0wins
AwaySlivka3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSlivka leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajac1Slivka2n = 3Slivka took 2 of 3
S2Zajac2Slivka1n = 3Zajac took 2 of 3
S3Zajac1Slivka2n = 3Slivka took 2 of 3
S4Zajac0Slivka3n = 3Slivka took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZajacSlivkaZ − SBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.044.7−8.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajacSlivkaBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 28 vs 62 / 12532.1%49.6%9 / 28 vs 62 / 125Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlivkaZajac 2.75/Slivka 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Slivka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slivka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac—116111082T. Slivka—811912113
LAug 5 · 12:15R. Zajac—611971T. Slivka—11811113
LJul 7 · 07:15R. Zajac—1011531T. Slivka—12811113
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131
T. Slivka10
LSep 7 · 06:45A. Strelec2.0011912113T. Slivka1.735111071WSep 7 · 06:15L. Snr2.1014461192T. Slivka1.671211118113LAug 20 · 17:10D. Stefek1.571311113T. Slivka2.2511660WAug 20 · 15:40L. Jr2.00119981T. Slivka1.7371111113LAug 20 · 14:10T. Slivka2.00551761D. Stefek1.73111115113LAug 19 · 12:43T. Slivka1.50971681M. Sobota2.50111114113LAug 19 · 11:40T. Slivka1.801011331D. Stefek1.9112911113LAug 19 · 10:40T. Slivka1.7311811572P. Sturma2.00611911113WAug 19 · 09:40T. Slivka1.801111113M. Sobota1.917680WAug 5 · 13:20T. Slivka2.051111133L. Jr1.6379110
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