TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13061651
Played Sep 2Finished
Radek Zajac
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1158111181214611
Filip Mandrysz
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:13 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeFilip Mandrysz to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Zajac above · Filip Mandrysz below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Filip Mandrysz at 63.6%
97 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zajac 1–1 Filip Mandrysz Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zajac 1206 vs Mandrysz 1302
Mandrysz
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajac 20% vs Mandrysz 60%
Mandrysz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajac 20% vs Mandrysz 40%
Mandrysz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajac -1 · Mandrysz -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Mandrysz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajac 2.38 / Mandrysz 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Mandrysz)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13061651
Zajac2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Mandrysz1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 71 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeZajac1wins
AwayMandrysz1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricZajacMandryszZ − MBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.026.0+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajacMandryszBasisWin rate · lifetime9 / 29 vs 206 / 41031%50.2%9 / 29 vs 206 / 410Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszZajac 2.38/Mandrysz 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 14 · 12:38R. Zajac—1111113F. Mandrysz—8380
LAug 14 · 09:40R. Zajac—8490F. Mandrysz—1111113
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690
Upcoming Matches
R. Zajac
Nothing scheduled
F. Mandrysz
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