TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13061665
Played Sep 2Finished
Zdenek Chovancik
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115117611114––
Radek Zajac
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:13 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeZdenek Chovancik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Chovancik above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Zdenek Chovancik at 58.9%
66 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Chovancik 1–0 Radek Zajac Radek Zajac has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:13What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Chovancik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Chovancik 1287 vs Zajac 1196
Chovancik
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chovancik 40% vs Zajac 20%
Chovancik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chovancik 40% vs Zajac 10%
Chovancik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chovancik -1 · Zajac -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Chovancik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChovancik 1.57 / Zajac 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Chovancik)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13061665
Chovancik1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zajac2.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeChovancik1wins
AwayZajac0wins
Chovancik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricChovancikZajacC − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match38.035.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChovancikZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 75 vs 9 / 3037.3%30%28 / 75 vs 9 / 30Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChovancikChovancik 1.57/Zajac 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Chovancik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chovancik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 06:15Z. Chovancik—11115113R. Zajac—871191
Z. Chovancik10
WSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113LSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 10:10F. Mandrysz1.6791113101Z. Chovancik2.1011515123LAug 17 · 09:15L. Snr1.531111113Z. Chovancik2.389480WAug 17 · 08:15Z. Chovancik1.8081111113K. Drozd1.91114621LAug 17 · 06:45L. Snr1.831111113Z. Chovancik1.835690WAug 17 · 06:15R. Zajac1.83871191Z. Chovancik1.8311115113WJul 13 · 08:40L. Snr1.44116971Z. Chovancik2.6011111113LJul 13 · 08:10Z. Chovancik2.25611651L. Snr1.5811711113LJul 13 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.55111111113Z. Chovancik2.35871391
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 06:15R. Zajac1.83871191Z. Chovancik1.8311115113
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