TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12445309
Played Aug 17Finished
Radek Zajac
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711115911––
Zdenek Chovancik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Zajac to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadek Zajac above · Zdenek Chovancik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radek Zajac at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Radek Zajac 0–1 Zdenek Chovancik Radek Zajac has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:05What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chovancik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zajac 1231 vs Chovancik 1282
Chovancik
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajac 40% vs Chovancik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajac 40% vs Chovancik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajac +1 · Chovancik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chovancik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chovancik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajac 1.83 / Chovancik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chovancik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12445309
Zajac1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Chovancik1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZajac0wins
AwayChovancik1wins
Chovancik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZajacChovancikZ − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.038.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajacChovancikBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 24 vs 27 / 7333.3%37%8 / 24 vs 27 / 73Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChovancikZajac 1.83/Chovancik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chovancik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chovancik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 17 · 06:15R. Zajac—871191Z. Chovancik—11115113
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842
Z. Chovancik10
WSep 2 · 13:15P. Sturma1.531061171Z. Chovancik2.3812117113WSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 10:40P. Sturma1.73511611143Z. Chovancik2.00114118122WSep 2 · 10:10F. Mandrysz1.6791113101Z. Chovancik2.1011515123LAug 17 · 09:15L. Snr1.531111113Z. Chovancik2.389480WAug 17 · 08:15Z. Chovancik1.8081111113K. Drozd1.91114621LAug 17 · 06:45L. Snr1.831111113Z. Chovancik1.835690WJul 13 · 08:40L. Snr1.44116971Z. Chovancik2.6011111113LJul 13 · 08:10Z. Chovancik2.25611651L. Snr1.5811711113LJul 13 · 06:40J. Sevecek1.55111111113Z. Chovancik2.35871391
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