TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12464400
Played Aug 20Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119119––––
Radek Zajac
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:51 and never touched — 71.5% is still 71.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Krupnik Jr to win
71.5%
71.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Lukas Krupnik Jr at 71.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 2–1 Radek Zajac Radek Zajac has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:51What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1352 vs Zajac 1214
Jr
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Zajac 20%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Zajac 20%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Zajac -4
Zajac
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.44 / Zajac 2.63
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Jr)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12464400
Jr1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 94 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Zajac2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayZajac1wins
Jr leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr1Zajac2n = 3Zajac took 2 of 3
S2Jr3Zajac0n = 3Jr took 3 of 3
S3Jr2Zajac1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJrZajacJ − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.332.3+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 395 vs 9 / 2853.2%32.1%210 / 395 vs 9 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.44/Zajac 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.5%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr—611781R. Zajac—11511113
WAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr—1111113R. Zajac—9990
WAug 5 · 09:45L. Jr—51111113R. Zajac—118851
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192LSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131
Upcoming Matches
L. Jr
R. Zajac
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