TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12464399
Played Aug 20Finished
Dominik Stefek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210116511116––
Radek Zajac
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeDominik Stefek to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDominik Stefek above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Dominik Stefek at 64.7%
72 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:49What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Stefek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stefek 1422 vs Zajac 1210
Stefek
Correct
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stefek 80% vs Zajac 0%
Stefek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stefek 80% vs Zajac 10%
Stefek
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stefek +2 · Zajac -5
Zajac
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.61 / Zajac 2.20
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Stefek)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12464399
Stefek1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite32% won 6 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it44% 4 of 9
Zajac2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 66 vs 8 / 2647%30.8%31 / 66 vs 8 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.61/Zajac 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stefek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Stefek10
WSep 5 · 20:40R. Benesz1.773880D. Stefek1.871111113LSep 5 · 19:40I. Jemelka2.001112113D. Stefek1.7391090LSep 5 · 19:10R. Benesz1.911111113D. Stefek1.806990LSep 5 · 18:10D. Stefek2.006490J. Vanous1.731111113LSep 5 · 16:43J. Sindler1.80811411123D. Stefek1.91119119102LSep 5 · 15:40D. Stefek2.2042100O. Skvor1.611111123LSep 5 · 14:40D. Stefek1.913211131M. Lorenc1.8011115153LSep 5 · 13:40D. Stefek1.67116111152J. Sindler2.10611913113LAug 30 · 12:38D. Stefek2.501111641O. Vaclahovsky1.5013711113WAug 30 · 11:40D. Stefek2.63951112113O. Vaclahovsky1.44111181042
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131
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