TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13064861
Played Sep 2Finished
Filip Mandrysz
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116119––––
Radek Zajac
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:40 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Mandrysz to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Mandrysz above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Filip Mandrysz at 61.8%
52 points played in total.
H2H Filip Mandrysz 2–1 Radek Zajac Radek Zajac has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mandrysz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mandrysz 1302 vs Zajac 1185
Mandrysz
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mandrysz 40% vs Zajac 20%
Mandrysz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mandrysz 50% vs Zajac 10%
Mandrysz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mandrysz -1 · Zajac -3
Zajac
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mandrysz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMandrysz 1.50 / Zajac 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Mandrysz)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13064861
Mandrysz1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 71 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it72% 48 of 67
Zajac2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog32% won 6 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMandrysz2wins
AwayZajac1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMandrysz leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mandrysz1Zajac2n = 3Zajac took 2 of 3
S2Mandrysz2Zajac1n = 3Mandrysz took 2 of 3
S3Mandrysz1Zajac2n = 3Zajac took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMandryszZajacM − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match33.734.0−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMandryszZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 412 vs 9 / 3150.2%29%207 / 412 vs 9 / 31Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MandryszMandrysz 1.50/Zajac 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Mandrysz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mandrysz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 11:10F. Mandrysz—511814113R. Zajac—118111262
LAug 14 · 12:38F. Mandrysz—8380R. Zajac—1111113
WAug 14 · 09:40F. Mandrysz—1111113R. Zajac—8490
F. Mandrysz10
LSep 7 · 07:15F. Mandrysz2.10128911112L. Snr1.671011117133LSep 7 · 05:45A. Strelec2.3811114113F. Mandrysz1.53671131WSep 6 · 16:50F. Mandrysz1.5111119123R. Jancak2.378311101WSep 6 · 16:15R. Jancak2.20311651F. Mandrysz1.6111911113LSep 6 · 15:15F. Mandrysz1.83511911142M. Sobota1.83118118163LSep 6 · 13:45J. Sindler1.73126115113F. Mandrysz2.00101191172WSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 08:10F. Mandrysz1.831114113L. Stempak1.8371280WSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 06:10M. Sobota1.73810151292F. Mandrysz2.0011121310113
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131
Upcoming Matches
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