TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12447797
Played Aug 17Finished
Kamil Drozd
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118118117––
Radek Zajac
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingKamil Drozd above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7
78 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Drozd 1–0 Radek Zajac Radek Zajac has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Drozd)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDrozd 1.61 / Zajac 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Drozd)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12447797
Drozd1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Zajac2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 5 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back14% 1 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDrozd1wins
AwayZajac0wins
Drozd leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDrozdZajacD − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.035.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDrozdZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 50 vs 8 / 2346%34.8%23 / 50 vs 8 / 23Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DrozdDrozd 1.61/Zajac 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Drozd · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Drozd won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd—11311153R. Zajac—4117131
K. Drozd10
LAug 17 · 08:15Z. Chovancik1.8081111113K. Drozd1.91114621WAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131LAug 17 · 05:45L. Snr1.83111152113K. Drozd1.8356111142WJul 26 · 08:48R. Jancak1.44711117102K. Drozd2.63119811123LJul 26 · 08:15M. Sobota1.8011611113K. Drozd1.91611661LJul 26 · 07:15K. Drozd1.67125391L. Jr2.10101111113LJul 26 · 05:45R. Jancak1.53101111113K. Drozd2.38129691LJun 25 · 08:50J. Lysek—911711113K. Drozd—11911882LJun 25 · 08:15Z. Chovancik—411117113K. Drozd—11641152LJun 25 · 07:15K. Drozd2.007101171F. Mandrysz1.6611129113
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962WAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr1.22611781R. Zajac4.0011511113LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131
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