TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12466253
Played Aug 20Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611115711811––
Radek Zajac
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 69.9% is still 69.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Krupnik Jr to win
69.9%
69.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Radek Zajac below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Krupnik Jr at 69.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 2–1 Radek Zajac Radek Zajac has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1352 vs Zajac 1214
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Zajac 0%
Jr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Zajac 10%
Jr
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Zajac -5
Zajac
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajac form (0%) is below what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.22 / Zajac 4.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Jr)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12466253
Jr1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 94 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it72% 64 of 89
Zajac4.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayZajac1wins
Jr leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr1Zajac2n = 3Zajac took 2 of 3
S2Jr3Zajac0n = 3Jr took 3 of 3
S3Jr2Zajac1n = 3Jr took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJrZajacJ − ZBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.332.3+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrZajacBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 395 vs 9 / 2853.2%32.1%210 / 395 vs 9 / 28Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.636.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.22/Zajac 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.6%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zajac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 20 · 16:40L. Jr—611781R. Zajac—11511113
WAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr—1111113R. Zajac—9990
WAug 5 · 09:45L. Jr—51111113R. Zajac—118851
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192LSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
R. Zajac10
LSep 2 · 12:45F. Mandrysz1.501111113R. Zajac2.504690LSep 2 · 12:10Z. Chovancik1.5711116113R. Zajac2.25571141LSep 2 · 11:10R. Zajac2.38118111262F. Mandrysz1.53511814113LSep 2 · 09:40P. Sturma1.83811911113R. Zajac1.8311711962LAug 20 · 16:10D. Stefek1.6112115113R. Zajac2.201061161LAug 20 · 15:10R. Zajac2.75116111082T. Slivka1.40811912113LAug 20 · 13:40L. Jr1.441111113R. Zajac2.639990LAug 17 · 08:43K. Drozd1.61101111113R. Zajac2.20128871LAug 17 · 07:45L. Snr1.57116211113R. Zajac2.2591111842LAug 17 · 07:15K. Drozd1.9111311153R. Zajac1.804117131
Upcoming Matches
L. Jr
R. Zajac
Nothing scheduled
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