TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086664
Played Sep 6Finished
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711911––––
Miroslav Dolezal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krupnik Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingLukas Krupnik Jr above · Miroslav Dolezal below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Krupnik Jr at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krupnik Jr 3–2 Miroslav Dolezal Miroslav Dolezal has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1340 vs Dolezal 1255
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Dolezal 80%
Dolezal
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Dolezal 70%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -2 · Dolezal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Dolezal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13086664
Jr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Dolezal1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJr3wins
AwayDolezal2wins
Jr leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDolezal66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Dolezal3n = 5Dolezal took 3 of 5
S2Jr3Dolezal2n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
S3Jr2Dolezal3n = 5Dolezal took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricJrDolezalJ − DBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match32.031.6+0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 428 vs 16 / 3652.8%44.4%226 / 428 vs 16 / 36Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match40.534.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.83/Dolezal 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 23 · 20:49L. Jr—8830M. Dolezal—1111113
WAug 9 · 17:40L. Jr—51111113M. Dolezal—117951
LAug 4 · 18:40L. Jr—10850M. Dolezal—1211113
WAug 3 · 19:15L. Jr—1114113M. Dolezal—81220
WJul 28 · 19:10L. Jr—111111113M. Dolezal—881381
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192LSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142WSep 3 · 14:45J. Jnr2.001183101L. Jr1.7381111123
M. Dolezal10
WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113WAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak1.67411451M. Dolezal2.1011611113WAug 23 · 20:49M. Dolezal2.251111113L. Jr1.578830WAug 23 · 20:15R. Jancak1.67111071192M. Dolezal2.10912111113LAug 23 · 19:15M. Dolezal3.004890J. Jnr1.361111113
Upcoming Matches
L. Jr
M. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
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