TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480951
Played Aug 23Finished
Miroslav Dolezal
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811911––––
Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:44 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Neuwirth Jnr to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Dolezal above · Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr at 68.8%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:44What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Jnr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1178 vs Jnr 1378
Jnr
Correct
both rated, 200 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Jnr 20%
Dolezal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 40% vs Jnr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal +1 · Jnr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Jnr) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 3.00 / Jnr 1.36
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Jnr)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12480951
Dolezal3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 9 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Jnr1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 40 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it70% 23 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime11 / 29 vs 119 / 22437.9%53.1%11 / 29 vs 119 / 224Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrDolezal 3.00/Jnr 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jnr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Dolezal10
WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113WAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak1.67411451M. Dolezal2.1011611113WAug 23 · 20:49M. Dolezal2.251111113L. Jr1.578830WAug 23 · 20:15R. Jancak1.67111071192M. Dolezal2.10912111113
J. Jnr10
WSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 15:45J. Jnr2.10511711113L. Zustina1.6711611652LSep 3 · 14:45J. Jnr2.001183101L. Jr1.7381111123WSep 3 · 13:45J. Jnr1.401111113F. Mandrysz2.757560LSep 1 · 16:45L. Jr1.651114816113J. Jnr2.10516111462LSep 1 · 15:45J. Jnr1.8351080L. Jr1.831112113LSep 1 · 14:45J. Jnr2.2012750P. Sturma1.611411113LSep 1 · 13:45J. Jnr1.91111291182J. Matus1.801310117113WSep 1 · 24:10J. Matus1.7381111562J. Jnr2.00118311113WAug 31 · 17:15J. Jnr1.71117128113O. Vaclahovsky1.93511101152
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