TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12481854
Played Aug 23Finished
Miroslav Dolezal
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118113––––
Lukas Krupnik Jr
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMiroslav Dolezal above · Lukas Krupnik Jr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3
52 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Dolezal 1–3 Lukas Krupnik Jr Miroslav Dolezal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.25 / Jr 1.57
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Jr)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12481854
Dolezal2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 9 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Jr1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 95 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it72% 65 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDolezal1wins
AwayJr3wins
Jr leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dolezal2Jr2n = 4split evenly
S2Dolezal1Jr3n = 4Jr took 3 of 4
S3Dolezal2Jr2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricDolezalJrD − JBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match31.235.2−4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalJrBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 31 vs 213 / 40238.7%53%12 / 31 vs 213 / 402Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.540.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrDolezal 2.25/Jr 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.9%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 9 · 17:40M. Dolezal—117951L. Jr—51111113
WAug 4 · 18:40M. Dolezal—1211113L. Jr—10850
LAug 3 · 19:15M. Dolezal—81220L. Jr—1114113
LJul 28 · 19:10M. Dolezal—881381L. Jr—111111113
M. Dolezal10
WSep 6 · 21:20J. Oleksik1.5771191272M. Dolezal2.251171110113LSep 6 · 20:15M. Dolezal2.0087111132J. Oleksik1.73111174113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113WSep 6 · 18:15R. Jancak1.8364111192M. Dolezal1.83111197113LAug 30 · 21:15M. Dolezal1.733380J. Oleksik2.001111113WAug 30 · 20:10M. Dolezal2.00811911113J. Oleksik1.7311911662WAug 30 · 18:40B. Jonas1.73111011782M. Dolezal2.00812611113WAug 30 · 18:10R. Jancak1.67411451M. Dolezal2.1011611113WAug 23 · 20:15R. Jancak1.67111071192M. Dolezal2.10912111113LAug 23 · 19:15M. Dolezal3.004890J. Jnr1.361111113
L. Jr10
WSep 6 · 20:49R. Jancak1.53611991L. Jr2.3811611113LSep 6 · 19:45L. Jr2.2511931182R. Jancak1.57811119113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Jr1.839790M. Dolezal1.831111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Jr1.8379111172J. Oleksik1.83111176113LSep 5 · 09:10F. Mandrysz1.721111113L. Jr2.008860WSep 5 · 07:40L. Jr1.83113911133M. Sobota1.83211117112LSep 5 · 06:40L. Jr1.8311701182F. Mandrysz1.83811119113WSep 5 · 05:40L. Jr1.91111198113L. Stempak1.8077111192LSep 3 · 17:18L. Jr1.73117311102J. Jnr2.00411118123WSep 3 · 16:15L. Jr2.00711116113F. Mandrysz1.7311391142
Upcoming Matches
M. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
L. Jr
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